Lucio Ratti vs Matteo Covato Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Matteo Covato has secured 43.75% of points on their second serve, whereas Lucio Ratti has managed 38.24%.
• When it comes to returning their opponents' second serve, Covato has won 43.34% of points, while Ratti fares better at 47.59%.
• First serve return stats show an advantage for Ratti, winning 33.99% of points compared to Covato's 24.24%.
• Under pressure, Covato has proven more resilient, saving 56.94% of breakpoints, in contrast to Ratti's 44.94%.
• Over the past year, Ratti has a superior match win rate of 60.94% (W/L 39/25), compared to Covato's 30.43% (W/L 14/32).
• Which surface favors each player? Covato excels on Clay with a 46% win rate, while Ratti's best performance comes on Hard courts with the same win rate.
• In determining the favorite, should we consider match levels? At the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, Ratti holds a stronger record with 64.91% wins compared to Covato's 35.14%.
• Against comparable competition, Covato's opponents rank on average at 349.76, slightly higher than Ratti's average of 364.7.
• In deciding sets, Ratti has a better conversion rate, winning 57% of them, whereas Covato has won 45%.
• Considering current event stats could provide additional insights into player form and potential outcomes.

Editorial Prediction (October 28, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performance metrics, Matteo Covato has a slight edge on his second serve performance, saving him potentially important points during matches. However, Lucio Ratti appears stronger in returning both first and second serves, which could create pressure situations for Covato.

Under conditions of duress, Covato shows more steadiness with a higher breakpoint save percentage, while Ratti, though slightly less stable, engages with a more aggressive return game, presenting a balanced contest.

Reflecting on overall match outcomes and consistency over the past year, Ratti's superior win record places him in a favorable position. Additionally, his ability to close out tight matches, evidenced by a higher deciding set win percentage, adds to his probable advantage.

Given these statistical insights, Lucio Ratti appears to be the likely winner in the upcoming match, owing to his stronger return game and better overall match performance over the past 12 months.